

AI, Productivity, and the Future of Inequality
Introduction Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming economies and societies. Many believe that artificial general intelligence...
Arda Tunca
5 days ago6 min read


A Typology of AI and Firm-Level Adoption
Abstract Despite widespread enthusiasm about artificial intelligence (AI) and its potential to reshape productivity , adoption in the...
Arda Tunca
Jul 2412 min read


Climate Backpedaling in an Age of Urgency
A report  published on June 19 delivered a stark reality check: at current rates, the world has less than three years before it crosses...
Arda Tunca
Jul 243 min read


Why the World Isn’t Retaliating Against Trump’s Economic Nationalism
In the second quarter of 2025, U.S. revenues from customs duties  hit a staggering $64 billion , a record high , and nearly $47 billion...
Arda Tunca
Jul 193 min read


The Geography of R&D in 2024
In an era of rapid technological change and economic uncertainty, innovation has become the defining axis of global competitiveness for a...
Arda Tunca
Jul 134 min read


Why Services Get Pricier: Baumol’s Cost Disease and Asymptotic Stagnancy
This article partially forms the theoretical foundation of two of my earlier pieces: Trump’s Industrial Nostalgia Misses the Modern...
Arda Tunca
Jul 103 min read


Deindustrialization Revisited
I previously wrote an article titled Trump’s Industrial Nostalgia Misses the Modern Economy , which sparked valuable discussions within...
Arda Tunca
Jul 78 min read


Trump's Industrial Nostalgia Misses the Modern Economy
In 1950, nearly one in three American workers had a job in manufacturing. Today, it's fewer than one in twelve. Despite decades of...
Arda Tunca
Jul 15 min read


Tariffs, Global Trade Disruptions, Aid Cuts, and the New Digital Frontiers
The confluence of trade shocks, vanishing aid flows, soaring debt burdens, and speculative digital finance is what we discuss on a daily...
Arda Tunca
Jun 304 min read


Economics, Empire, and Madness: Rereading Don Quijote
I wrote the article, The Contradictory Paths of Civilization , when I was 22, just after graduating from university. The books and...
Arda Tunca
Jun 299 min read


Class Anxiety and the Erosion of Mobility in China
Once a symbol of unrelenting ascent, China’s model of social mobility is now showing cracks. For millions of young people, especially...
Arda Tunca
Jun 242 min read


The Stablecoin Surge: A Systemic Threat?
In a financial system historically defined by state-backed currencies, central banks, and commercial lenders, stablecoins have emerged as...
Arda Tunca
Jun 214 min read


Turkey’s Growth Slows Sharply and Labor Market Struggles
Turkey’s economy is losing momentum. In the first quarter of 2025, annual GDP growth slowed to just 2% , down sharply from 5.1% in 2023...
Arda Tunca
Jun 174 min read


Strategic Rivalries in a Fractured Global Order
For decades, economics ruled the world stage. Markets dictated policy, and political choices were increasingly constrained by economic...
Arda Tunca
Jun 143 min read


Trade Wars and the Great Supply Chain Shuffle
Trade wars don’t kill trade entirely, but they shrink and reroute it. That’s exactly what we’re seeing as tensions between the United...
Arda Tunca
Jun 93 min read


Şimşek’s Program: Promised Stability—But Where Are the Results?
When Mehmet Şimşek was brought back to lead Turkey’s economic policy  in June 2023, it was marketed as a return to reason . After the...
Arda Tunca
Jun 83 min read


China’s Manufacturing Slowdown: A Global Warning Sign?
In an earlier analysis, I cautioned that China’s manufacturing-driven growth was vulnerable to both internal demand weaknesses and...
Arda Tunca
Jun 33 min read


AI and Energy: A Double-Edged Sword in the Climate Fight
There are two major existential threats facing humanity today: climate change  and artificial intelligence (AI) . Each poses immense...
Arda Tunca
May 274 min read


The U.S.-China Trade War: Structural Imbalances and Global Economic Realignment
The persistent structural imbalances in the global economy, notably the significant current account deficits of the United States...
Arda Tunca
May 234 min read


Turkey: The Fragile Anatomy of the Real Economy
The Turkish economy exhibits multidimensional fragility in production, employment, and public finance. These vulnerabilities are not...
Arda Tunca
May 224 min read