

The Structural Transformation of the Global Environment
The global order is no longer organised around shared rules. It is increasingly shaped by power, bargaining, and unilateral action. Trade, finance, technology, and security are no longer coordinated through stable frameworks but are subordinated to political alignment . Recent transatlantic developments make this shift visible. Equity markets fell sharply and government bond yields rose not because of changes in inflation or growth expectations, but because of diplomatic thr
Arda Tunca
Jan 213 min read


Trade Wars and the Great Supply Chain Shuffle
Trade wars don’t kill trade entirely, but they shrink and reroute it. That’s exactly what we’re seeing as tensions between the United...
Arda Tunca
Jun 9, 20253 min read


The Slowdown in the U.S. Economy: What Lies Behind the Numbers?
The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter of the year. It shrank by 0.3% on an annualized basis. At first glance, this datum...
Arda Tunca
May 3, 20254 min read


History, Economics, and the Unlearned Lessons of the 1930s
Recent global developments have led many to draw parallels between our current era and the 1930s. The rise of nationalism, economic...
Arda Tunca
Mar 9, 20254 min read









